US Dollar / Japanese Yen · USDJPY
forexLast updated: February 25, 2026
Money flow in US Dollar / Japanese Yen is balanced, with neither strong accumulation nor distribution. The Flow & Accumulation Score reads 59/100 — a neutral reading with no clear directional bias. The broader trend remains positive, with the Trend & Momentum Score at 65/100, though not at its strongest. The Risk Profile Score sits at 55/100, reflecting a mediocre return-to-risk balance.
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Where is money flowing?
VWAP: Above 50d ($155.40) and 200d ($150.57)
Money flow in US Dollar / Japanese Yen is neutral. The Flow & Accumulation Score reads 59/100 — neither buyers nor sellers are dominating, and capital commitment is balanced. Chaikin Money Flow at -0.02 and On-Balance Volume (flat) provide a mixed picture of flow dynamics. Volume is running at 1.4x the 20-day average — above normal, suggesting increased participation.
What is the trend?
| MA Period | Value | Price vs MA | Distance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10-day | 154.77 | Above | +0.9% |
| 21-day | 154.81 | Above | +0.9% |
| 50-day | 155.85 | Above | +0.2% |
| 100-day | 156.04 | Above | +0.1% |
| 200-day | 152.95 | Above | +2.1% |
The trend in US Dollar / Japanese Yen is positive. The Trend & Momentum Score reads 65/100, with price above the key 50-day and 200-day moving averages — the intermediate and long-term trend structure is intact.
Is momentum building or fading?
Momentum signals are mixed. The 10-day rate of change reads 2.3%, the 21-day -0.5%, and the 63-day 0.2% — no clear alignment across timeframes. RSI at 58 reflects healthy bullish momentum without reaching overbought levels — there is room for further upside before the indicator signals caution.
How extended is this move?
Price is 0.2% above the 50-day moving average — a mild extension within the normal range (33rd percentile of its historical range). There is no significant stretch to flag. Bollinger Band %B at 0.74 shows price in the upper half of its recent volatility range. Bollinger Bandwidth has compressed to 0.040 — volatility is unusually low, a condition often referred to as a squeeze. Historically, periods of compressed volatility tend to precede significant moves in one direction.
Where are the key levels?
$154.07 – $159.73
$145.21 – $147.56
The strongest support zone is $145 — $148, 6% below current price, where 6 independent signals converge — major swing at $145, double bottom at $146, major swing at $146, double bottom at $146, and 2 other signals. Overhead, a strong resistance cluster at $154 — $160 (1% above) needs to clear — double top at $156, major swing at $157, double top at $157, double top at $157, and 13 other signals. The volume profile shows the highest activity around $147 (Point of Control), with the 70% value area spanning $144 to $149. Price is within 2% of the 52-week high at $159.
How does this compare?
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What risk am I taking?
The risk-return profile of US Dollar / Japanese Yen is mediocre. The Risk Profile Score sits at 55/100 — the return-to-risk trade-off is unremarkable, suggesting caution with position sizing. The 1-year Sortino Ratio of 0.7 is below average — returns have barely compensated for the downside volatility. The largest drawdown over the past year reached -4.2%. Beta of 0.01 indicates very low correlation to the broader market — US Dollar / Japanese Yen moves largely independently of equity market swings.
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Direction Assessment
Confirmed uptrend with capital inflow
Uptrend without volume support
Capital flowing in, trend not yet established
Downtrend with capital outflow
Average. Standard positioning appropriate.
The combined signal is neutral. With trend at 65/100 and flow at 59/100, neither dimension provides a clear directional reading — the asset is in a transitional or range-bound state. The Risk Profile Score at 55/100 sits in unremarkable territory — in a neutral directional environment, the risk metrics become important for sizing decisions.
Conclusion
US Dollar / Japanese Yen is in a transitional phase. The data does not support a strong directional view — indicators are mixed, and the asset could resolve in either direction. No single indicator is at an extreme — the readings are within normal ranges across the framework, which itself is informative. These scores update daily as new data arrives. Flipside does not predict what happens next — it shows what is happening now, grounded in the data.