Coinbase Global Inc. · COIN
equityFinancial Services
Last updated: February 26, 2026
Coinbase Global Inc. is looking extended. Price sits 13.9% below the 50-day moving average — a level that has historically preceded consolidation or mean reversion, even within established trends. The trend is under pressure, with the Trend & Momentum Score at 35/100, indicating a developing downtrend. Flow data is inconclusive — the Flow & Accumulation Score at 43/100 shows no strong directional conviction from buyers or sellers. The Risk Profile Score at 35/100 flags that the return does not currently compensate for the volatility and drawdown risk involved.
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Where is money flowing?
VWAP: Below 50d ($198.99) and 200d ($288.15)
Money flow in Coinbase Global Inc. is neutral. The Flow & Accumulation Score reads 43/100 — neither buyers nor sellers are dominating, and capital commitment is balanced. The 20-day Chaikin Money Flow reads 0.03, marginally positive over the measurement period.
What is the trend?
| MA Period | Value | Price vs MA | Distance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10-day | 166.00 | Above | +9.1% |
| 21-day | 171.13 | Above | +5.8% |
| 50-day | 210.18 | Below | -13.9% |
| 100-day | 259.72 | Below | -30.3% |
| 200-day | 288.37 | Below | -37.2% |
The trend in Coinbase Global Inc. is negative. The Trend & Momentum Score reads 35/100, with price below the 50-day and 200-day moving averages — the intermediate trend structure has broken down. Price is 37.2% below the 200-day moving average — a deep deviation from the long-term mean that reflects persistent selling pressure.
Is momentum building or fading?
Short-term momentum is picking up against a negative longer-term backdrop. The 10-day rate of change reads 18.2% while the 63-day sits at -29.3% — a potential early signal of a momentum shift. RSI at 49 sits near the midline — momentum is essentially neutral, with neither buyers nor sellers showing clear dominance.
How extended is this move?
Price is 13.9% below the 50-day moving average (35th percentile of its historical range). Bollinger Band %B at 0.70 shows price in the upper half of its recent volatility range. Bollinger Bandwidth at 0.352 shows expanded volatility — the asset is making larger-than-normal moves. High bandwidth typically follows a breakout or breakdown and can persist during trending moves.
Where are the key levels?
$251.45 – $290.27
$157.96 – $179.55
Notable support sits at $158 — $180, 7% below, with 4 signals converging — major swing at $161, intermediate swing at $176, SMA-10 at $166, and SMA-21 at $171. Overhead, a strong resistance cluster at $251 — $290 (50% above) needs to clear — major swing at $264, double top at $268, major swing at $273, double top at $275, and 7 other signals. The volume Point of Control over the past year sits at $255, where the most trading activity occurred — a significant level if price revisits that area. The 52-week high at $445 sits 146% above, with price at the 14% mark of its annual range.
How does this compare?
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What risk am I taking?
The risk-return profile of Coinbase Global Inc. is poor. The Risk Profile Score reads 35/100 — significant risk without proportional reward. The drawdown and volatility metrics suggest this is a painful asset to hold in size. The 1-year Sortino Ratio of 0.2 is below average — returns have barely compensated for the downside volatility. The largest drawdown over the past year reached -66.4%. Beta of 1.06 keeps Coinbase Global Inc. roughly in line with the market — it moves with the broad market without significantly amplifying gains or losses.
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Direction Assessment
Confirmed uptrend with capital inflow
Uptrend without volume support
Capital flowing in, trend not yet established
Downtrend with capital outflow
Elevated risk. Standard positioning appropriate.
The combined signal is neutral. With trend at 35/100 and flow at 43/100, neither dimension provides a clear directional reading — the asset is in a transitional or range-bound state. The Risk Profile Score at 35/100 sits in concerning territory — in a neutral directional environment, the risk metrics become important for sizing decisions.
Conclusion
Coinbase Global Inc. is in a transitional phase. The data does not support a strong directional view — indicators are mixed, and the asset could resolve in either direction. No single indicator is at an extreme — the readings are within normal ranges across the framework, which itself is informative. These scores update daily as new data arrives. Flipside does not predict what happens next — it shows what is happening now, grounded in the data.