Ethereum · ETH-USD
cryptoLast updated: February 26, 2026
Ethereum is looking extended. Price sits 18.3% below the 50-day moving average — a level that has historically preceded consolidation or mean reversion, even within established trends. The trend is under pressure, with the Trend & Momentum Score at 36/100, indicating a developing downtrend. Flow data is inconclusive — the Flow & Accumulation Score at 60/100 shows no strong directional conviction from buyers or sellers. The Risk Profile Score at 15/100 flags that the return does not currently compensate for the volatility and drawdown risk involved.
Get this analysis for every asset in your portfolio → Create free account
Where is money flowing?
VWAP: Below 50d ($2,477.31) and 200d ($3,609.61)
Money flow in Ethereum is neutral. The Flow & Accumulation Score reads 60/100 — neither buyers nor sellers are dominating, and capital commitment is balanced. Chaikin Money Flow at -0.18 and On-Balance Volume (flat) provide a mixed picture of flow dynamics.
What is the trend?
| MA Period | Value | Price vs MA | Distance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10-day | 1,948.81 | Above | +5.3% |
| 21-day | 1,988.11 | Above | +3.2% |
| 50-day | 2,512.11 | Below | -18.3% |
| 100-day | 2,764.23 | Below | -25.8% |
| 200-day | 3,444.50 | Below | -40.4% |
The trend in Ethereum is negative. The Trend & Momentum Score reads 36/100, with price below the 50-day and 200-day moving averages — the intermediate trend structure has broken down. Price is 40.4% below the 200-day moving average — a deep deviation from the long-term mean that reflects persistent selling pressure.
Is momentum building or fading?
Short-term momentum is picking up against a negative longer-term backdrop. The 10-day rate of change reads 5.0% while the 63-day sits at -29.4% — a potential early signal of a momentum shift. RSI at 46 sits near the midline — momentum is essentially neutral, with neither buyers nor sellers showing clear dominance.
How extended is this move?
Price is 18.3% below the 50-day moving average, in the 16th percentile of its historical range — meaning the asset is more stretched to the downside than it usually gets. Bollinger Band %B at 0.73 shows price in the upper half of its recent volatility range.
Where are the key levels?
$2,711.04 – $2,989.32
$1,871.48 – $2,003.62
Notable support sits at $1,871 — $2,004, 5% below, with 3 signals converging — SMA-10 at $1,949, SMA-21 at $1,988, and minor swing at $1,897. Resistance sits at $2,711 — $2,989, 38% above — double top at $2,761, double top at $2,818, major swing at $2,878, intermediate swing at $2,737, and 4 other signals. The volume Point of Control over the past year sits at $2,963, where the most trading activity occurred — a significant level if price revisits that area. The 52-week high at $4,954 sits 141% above, with price at the 9% mark of its annual range.
How does this compare?
How do your holdings compare? Connect your portfolio for a full relative strength overlay → Create free account
What risk am I taking?
The risk profile of Ethereum is concerning. The Risk Profile Score sits at just 15/100 — severe downside risk with little return to show for it. Position sizing should be minimal regardless of trend strength. The 1-year Sortino Ratio is negative (-0.2) — the asset has lost money on a risk-adjusted basis over the past year. Maximum drawdown hit -62.3%, and the loss profile is unfavourable. Beta of 1.40 means Ethereum moves somewhat more than the market — modestly higher sensitivity to broad market swings. Daily volatility (21-day) is 66.1%.
Track your risk exposure across your entire portfolio → Upgrade to Pro
Direction Assessment
Confirmed uptrend with capital inflow
Uptrend without volume support
Capital flowing in, trend not yet established
Downtrend with capital outflow
High risk, poor compensation. Standard positioning appropriate.
The combined signal is neutral. With trend at 36/100 and flow at 60/100, neither dimension provides a clear directional reading — the asset is in a transitional or range-bound state. The Risk Profile Score at 15/100 sits in concerning territory — in a neutral directional environment, the risk metrics become important for sizing decisions.
Conclusion
Ethereum is in a transitional phase. The data does not support a strong directional view — indicators are mixed, and the asset could resolve in either direction. No single indicator is at an extreme — the readings are within normal ranges across the framework, which itself is informative. These scores update daily as new data arrives. Flipside does not predict what happens next — it shows what is happening now, grounded in the data.