Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund · DBC
commodityLast updated: February 26, 2026
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund is in a strong, confirmed uptrend. The Trend & Momentum Score reads 87/100, with price sitting above all major moving averages and ADX confirming meaningful trend strength. Flow data is inconclusive — the Flow & Accumulation Score at 59/100 shows no strong directional conviction from buyers or sellers. The Risk Profile Score sits at 60/100, reflecting a reasonable return-to-risk balance.
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Where is money flowing?
VWAP: Above 50d ($23.68) and 200d ($22.54)
Money flow in Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund is neutral. The Flow & Accumulation Score reads 59/100 — neither buyers nor sellers are dominating, and capital commitment is balanced. Chaikin Money Flow at 0.09 is marginally positive, with On-Balance Volume flat — there is no strong conviction from either buyers or sellers at present. Volume is notably thin at just 0.4x the 20-day average — any price moves today carry less conviction due to low participation.
What is the trend?
| MA Period | Value | Price vs MA | Distance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10-day | 24.35 | Above | +1.7% |
| 21-day | 24.31 | Above | +1.8% |
| 50-day | 23.50 | Above | +5.3% |
| 100-day | 22.77 | Above | +8.8% |
| 200-day | 22.06 | Above | +12.2% |
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund is in a strong, established uptrend. The Trend & Momentum Score reads 87/100 with price above all major moving averages in bullish alignment.
Is momentum building or fading?
Momentum is positive across all timeframes — 10-day (1.6%), 21-day (0.6%), and 63-day (13.0%) rate of change are all in positive territory — though the alignment suggests the pace of gains is stabilising rather than accelerating. RSI at 61 reflects healthy bullish momentum without reaching overbought levels — there is room for further upside before the indicator signals caution. The MACD histogram is positive, confirming the momentum picture — trend strength and directional indicators are in agreement.
How extended is this move?
Price sits 5.3% above the 50-day moving average, placing this extension in the 91st percentile of its historical range. The move is moderately extended — not at extremes, but above the typical range. Bollinger Band %B at 0.77 shows price in the upper half of its recent volatility range.
Where are the key levels?
$25.59 – $25.79
$21.41 – $22.39
The strongest support zone is $21 — $22, 12% below current price, where 11 independent signals converge — major swing at $22, double bottom at $22, major swing at $22, double bottom at $22, and 7 other signals. The nearest resistance reference is $26 — $26, 4% above — intermediate swing at $26. The volume profile shows the highest activity around $22 (Point of Control), with the 70% value area spanning $21 to $23.
How does this compare?
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What risk am I taking?
The risk-return profile of Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund is good. The Risk Profile Score reads 60/100 — the return adequately compensates for the risk involved, with no major red flags in the drawdown or volatility metrics. The 1-year Sortino Ratio of 0.9 is acceptable — returns have been reasonable relative to the downside experienced. The largest drawdown over the past year was -11.0%.
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Direction Assessment
Confirmed uptrend with capital inflow
Uptrend without volume support
Capital flowing in, trend not yet established
Downtrend with capital outflow
Good risk/reward. Standard positioning appropriate.
The combined signal is neutral. With trend at 87/100 and flow at 59/100, neither dimension provides a clear directional reading — the asset is in a transitional or range-bound state. The Risk Profile Score at 60/100 sits in unremarkable territory — in a neutral directional environment, the risk metrics become important for sizing decisions.
Conclusion
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund is in a transitional phase. The data does not support a strong directional view — indicators are mixed, and the asset could resolve in either direction. The most notable signal is extension — price deviation from the 50-day average is in the 91st percentile of its own history, an extreme that has historically been difficult to sustain. These scores update daily as new data arrives. Flipside does not predict what happens next — it shows what is happening now, grounded in the data.