SPDR S&P 500 ETF
SPYETFAI Summary
Updated 4h ago
SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) is in a mixed position
SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) is in a mixed position. Some indicators are above average, others below, but nothing is at an extreme that demands attention. For reference: Flow Score 50/100, Trend & Momentum Score 54/100.
Market Positioning
The Bigger Picture
Macro context will be updated shortly
Technical Analysis
Market Positioning
Where does this asset sit across four dimensions? Extension (how stretched price is vs its own history), Momentum (RSI, MACD, rate of change), Flow (volume and money flow), and Volatility (how quiet or active). Each bar shows a 0–100 percentile compared to the last year of data. Key levels show the nearest demand and supply zones from our confluence analysis.
Key Levels
Looking at the full picture for SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY): extension is below average (26th percentile), momentum is neutral (53rd percentile), flow is slightly below average (38th percentile), volatility is below average (17th percentile).
Where is money flowing?
Trend
Is momentum building or fading?
How extended is this move?
Where are the key levels?
What risk am I taking?
Conclusion
SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) is in a mixed position. Some indicators are above average, others below, but nothing is at an extreme level that defines the current setup strongly in either direction. There is not a strong signal here in either direction. This is an asset to watch rather than act on right now. These readings update daily. Flipside shows what is happening now, grounded in the data — not what will happen next.
Related analysis
SMH Is at a 52-Week High and Flashing Extreme Readings. That's Usually Bullish — With One Catch.
SMH printed a new 52-week high on April 13, 2026, with all four percentile dimensions — Extension (79.8th), Momentum (88.4th), Flow (87.2nd), and Volatility (80.0th) — simultaneously elevated. Across 201 historical matching episodes, SMH has been positive 71.6% of the time at 21 days. But the real story is the flow split: when flow is also above the 75th percentile (as it is today), the 21-day hit rate for SMH jumps to 80.7% with a median return of +5.13%, and SPY posts a 92.8% win rate at 21 days. Today's profile most closely resembles the June–September 2025 cluster, where every similar reading produced strong continuation. The key risk is the 10-day ROC at the 99.6th percentile — that level of short-term velocity has historically preceded a brief consolidation even within bullish episodes. The 21-day SMA at $397.67 is the first level to watch on any pullback.
When the Safe Havens Stop Working — Market Roundup, Week of 29 March 2026
Flipside's weekly market analysis for March 23–27, 2026. Covers SPY and QQQ breaking below 50-day moving averages, oil's historic surge via USO, gold's unusual distribution pattern, and emerging stress in credit markets via HYG and LQD. Grounded in Flipside percentile data across Extension, Momentum, Flow, and Volatility dimensions.
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