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    SPDR Gold Shares vs iShares Silver Trust

    GLD / SLV

    Gold vs silver — precious metals relative strength and industrial demand signal

    Last updated: February 26, 2026

    GLD is gaining ground against SLV with a price ratio of 5.94. The ratio's z-score of -1.49 is notably extended. The two assets are currently highly correlated (63-day: 0.84).

    GLD Flow
    50/100Neutral
    SLV Flow
    27/100Distribution

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    Relative Performance

    Price Ratio
    5.94Above 50d average
    50d / 200d SMA: 5.90 / 8.06
    Ratio vs 50d MA
    +0.5%Near average
    Z-Score (200d)
    -1.49Notable deviation
    Ratio RSI (14)
    36Neutral

    The price ratio is currently above its 50-day moving average, indicating GLD has been gaining relative ground recently. The ratio is near its 50-day average, suggesting no significant relative extension. The z-score of -1.49 shows a notable deviation from the long-term average.

    Performance Comparison

    TimeframeGLDSLVLeader
    10-Day+2.1%+5.1%SLV
    21-Day+0.3%-20.8%GLD
    63-Day+25.6%+72.5%SLV

    Performance is mixed across timeframes, with no clear consistent leader between GLD and SLV. Watch for a breakout in relative momentum.

    Correlation

    63-Day Correlation
    0.84Very strong positive
    252-Day Correlation
    0.76Moderate positive

    These two assets have a moderate positive long-term correlation of 0.76. The short-term and long-term correlations are closely aligned at 0.84 and 0.76, indicating a stable relationship. High correlation means these assets offer limited diversification benefit when held together.

    Money Flow Comparison

    GLD

    Flow Score
    5050/100
    CMF (20d)
    0.07Net inflow
    Relative Volume
    0.47×Below average

    SLV

    Flow Score
    2727/100
    CMF (20d)
    -0.01Net outflow
    Relative Volume
    0.41×Below average

    GLD has a stronger flow score (50/100 vs 27/100), indicating more consistent accumulation pressure. This is confirmed by Chaikin Money Flow, with GLD showing net inflow (0.07) while SLV shows net outflow (-0.01). Both assets are trading on below-average volume, which means current flow readings should be interpreted with caution.

    Trend & Risk

    GLD

    Trend
    67/100Uptrend
    Risk
    86/100Excellent risk/reward

    SLV

    Trend
    73/100Uptrend
    Risk
    71/100Good risk/reward
    MetricGLDSLVAdvantage
    Volatility (21d)+57.1%+154.6%GLD
    Max Drawdown (1Y)-13.9%-37.1%GLD
    Beta0.26
    Correlation (63d)0.84

    Both assets show similar trend momentum (67/100 vs 73/100), indicating neither has a clear directional edge. GLD carries a better risk profile (86/100 vs 71/100), with lower overall risk metrics. SLV is 2.7x more volatile than GLD on a 21-day basis (154.6% vs 57.1%), which means larger price swings in either direction. SLV has experienced a deeper maximum drawdown over the past year (37.1% vs 13.9%), indicating higher tail risk. With a 63-day correlation of 0.84, these assets tend to move together — meaning the risk characteristics above are likely to manifest in tandem.

    Direction Assessment

    GLD

    STRONG

    Uptrend + capital inflow

    WARNING

    Uptrend, weak flow

    EMERGING

    Flow in, no trend yet

    WEAK

    Downtrend + outflow

    Risk Profile86/100

    Excellent risk/reward

    SLV

    STRONG

    Uptrend + capital inflow

    WARNING

    Uptrend, weak flow

    EMERGING

    Flow in, no trend yet

    WEAK

    Downtrend + outflow

    Risk Profile71/100

    Good risk/reward

    Putting It Together

    GLD is currently gaining ground against SLV, with the price ratio at 5.94 versus its 50-day average of 5.90. The 200-day z-score of -1.49 is notably extended, suggesting SLV may be stretched relative to GLD. On a flow basis, GLD shows stronger capital accumulation (50 vs 27). GLD carries lower short-term volatility (+57.1% vs +154.6% 21-day), with max drawdowns of -13.9% and -37.1% respectively. With a 63-day correlation of 0.84, these assets move closely together — limiting diversification benefit. Monitor the ratio trend and flow divergence for early signals of a shift in relative leadership.

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