Macro
Articles tagged with Macro. In-depth research powered by Flipside Flow Scores.
All Articles
IEF: The Slow Build Nobody Is Talking About
The iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF is flashing a rare combination: price at a 12-month low (extension 11th percentile), momentum near historic lows (16th percentile), yet money flow is sitting at its 67th percentile — historically elevated buying pressure into a falling price. Our data labels this a Slow Build. Across 30 historical matches of this profile, 24 produced positive returns at 21 days. The key variable isn't the current price — it's whether flow holds. January 2025 showed a +3.8% return at 63 days from an identical setup. The DXY recovering toward 100 adds a second dimension to watch.
Follow the Money: Where Capital Has Gone in 2026 — and Where It's Running Out of Places to Hide
The first quarter of 2026 has seen three distinct phases of capital rotation: a risk-off shift from tech into defensives and gold in January, an oil-driven regime change in February as the Iran conflict erupted, and a March liquidation that is now hitting everything — including the hiding places. Energy and oil are the only sectors with strong flow and extension percentiles. Gold has collapsed from the 95th percentile extension to the 2nd in eight weeks. The defensives that absorbed the first wave are now rolling over. And the data shows something ominous: volatility is elevated almost everywhere simultaneously.
There's a War in the Middle East and Gold Is Crashing. Here's What the Data Says Happens Next.
GLD has hit its most extreme percentile reading in our dataset — extension and momentum both at the 0th percentile, flow at the 1.6th. We tested every similar episode since 2021 and found that traditional 'weak' scores cannot distinguish between dead-cat bounces and genuine reversals. The volatility dimension and flow depth are the critical discriminators, and they're giving a mixed signal right now.
Your portfolio. Your context. Smarter decisions.
Connect your holdings and let the Flipside Agent analyze market changes through the lens of your portfolio.
Personalized insights based on your actual holdings
Major market movements delivered to your inbox
Track the assets that matter most to you
No credit card required