NVIDIA Corporation
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Nvidia's Fundamentals Are Perfect. So Why Is Money Quietly Leaving?
NVDA triggered an extreme reading on March 26 with extension at the 10th percentile, momentum at the 8th, and flow at the 10th — a triple-low condition. But the story isn't the current reading. It's the six-month journey that got here. Flow has been deteriorating since October 2025 despite the stock holding its $170 range. CMF has been negative for 20 of the last 25 weeks. OBV slope is declining. The data shows textbook distribution — strong hands selling into a sideways market — and it's been happening for months. The 14 prior triple-low observations produced a 100% hit rate at 63 days with a median return of +37.7%, but the comparison requires careful analysis because Nvidia's character may have changed.
NVIDIA (NVDA) Triggers Value Trap Signal With Extension at 9.7th Percentile and Flow Below Critical 20% Threshold
NVIDIA has triggered a value trap configuration with both extension and momentum below the 10th percentile. The historical data reveals a critical divergence: when flow holds above 40% in this setup, positive outcomes occur 70.8% of the time, but NVDA's current flow reading of 18.3% places it in the weaker cohort where success rates drop to 55%.
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