SPDR Gold Shares

There's a War in the Middle East and Gold Is Crashing. Here's What the Data Says Happens Next.

GLD has hit its most extreme percentile reading in our dataset — extension and momentum both at the 0th percentile, flow at the 1.6th. We tested every similar episode since 2021 and found that traditional 'weak' scores cannot distinguish between dead-cat bounces and genuine reversals. The volatility dimension and flow depth are the critical discriminators, and they're giving a mixed signal right now.