SPDR S&P 500 ETF
Articles tagged with SPDR S&P 500 ETF. In-depth research powered by Flipside Flow Scores.
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SMH Is at a 52-Week High and Flashing Extreme Readings. That's Usually Bullish — With One Catch.
SMH printed a new 52-week high on April 13, 2026, with all four percentile dimensions — Extension (79.8th), Momentum (88.4th), Flow (87.2nd), and Volatility (80.0th) — simultaneously elevated. Across 201 historical matching episodes, SMH has been positive 71.6% of the time at 21 days. But the real story is the flow split: when flow is also above the 75th percentile (as it is today), the 21-day hit rate for SMH jumps to 80.7% with a median return of +5.13%, and SPY posts a 92.8% win rate at 21 days. Today's profile most closely resembles the June–September 2025 cluster, where every similar reading produced strong continuation. The key risk is the 10-day ROC at the 99.6th percentile — that level of short-term velocity has historically preceded a brief consolidation even within bullish episodes. The 21-day SMA at $397.67 is the first level to watch on any pullback.
When the Safe Havens Stop Working — Market Roundup, Week of 29 March 2026
Flipside's weekly market analysis for March 23–27, 2026. Covers SPY and QQQ breaking below 50-day moving averages, oil's historic surge via USO, gold's unusual distribution pattern, and emerging stress in credit markets via HYG and LQD. Grounded in Flipside percentile data across Extension, Momentum, Flow, and Volatility dimensions.
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