Amazon.com Inc. · AMZN

    equity

    Consumer Cyclical

    207.92-2.72 (-1.29%)

    Last updated: February 26, 2026

    Amazon.com Inc. is in a confirmed downtrend. The Trend & Momentum Score has dropped to 18/100, with price below all major moving averages and momentum indicators confirming the move lower. Flow data adds a note of caution — the Flow & Accumulation Score at 26/100 indicates capital is leaving. The Risk Profile Score sits at 39/100, reflecting a poor return-to-risk balance.

    Flow & Accumulation
    26/100Distribution
    Trend & Momentum
    18/100Strong Downtrend
    Risk Profile
    39/100Elevated risk

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    Where is money flowing?

    Flow & Accumulation
    26/100Distribution

    VWAP: Below 50d ($223.15) and 200d ($223.76)

    CMF (20-day)
    0.08Positive
    Relative Volume
    0.73×Below average
    Force Index (13-day)
    -67.2MSelling pressure
    OBV Trend (21-day)
    FallingConfirming price trend

    Capital is leaving Amazon.com Inc. The Flow & Accumulation Score reads 26/100, indicating distribution — selling pressure is outweighing buying pressure over the measurement period. The 20-day Chaikin Money Flow reads 0.08, marginally positive over the measurement period.

    What is the trend?

    Trend & Momentum
    18/100Strong Downtrend
    MA PeriodValuePrice vs MADistance
    10-day205.17Above+1.3%
    21-day216.34Below-3.9%
    50-day226.84Below-8.3%
    100-day228.00Below-8.8%
    200-day224.34Below-7.3%
    ADX (14-day)
    28.6Strong Trend
    +DI / −DI: 18.2 / 30.7
    Trend State
    Neutral / Range-boundState 3 of 5

    Amazon.com Inc. is in a confirmed downtrend. The Trend & Momentum Score sits at just 18/100, with price below all major moving averages in bearish alignment.

    Is momentum building or fading?

    RSI (14-day)
    40.0Bearish
    MACD Histogram
    0.50Building
    Line / Signal: -6.88 / -7.37
    ROC Alignment
    +1.9%Mixed signals
    21d / 63d: -15.0% / -8.1%

    Short-term momentum is picking up against a negative longer-term backdrop. The 10-day rate of change reads 1.9% while the 63-day sits at -8.1% — a potential early signal of a momentum shift. RSI at 40 reflects bearish momentum, though not yet at extreme levels — selling pressure is present but has not reached exhaustion.

    How extended is this move?

    Distance from 50d MA
    -8.3%17th percentile of history
    Bollinger %B
    0.38Middle zone
    Upper / Lower: 245.44 / 184.57
    Bollinger Bandwidth
    0.28Expanded
    Percentile: 93th

    Price is 8.3% below the 50-day moving average, in the 17th percentile of its historical range — meaning the asset is more stretched to the downside than it usually gets. Bollinger Band %B at 0.38 shows price in the lower half of its recent volatility range. Bollinger Bandwidth at 0.283 shows expanded volatility — the asset is making larger-than-normal moves. High bandwidth typically follows a breakout or breakdown and can persist during trending moves.

    Where are the key levels?

    Resistance

    $215.36 – $250.57

    12.3% above14 signals
    Current$207.92
    Support

    $159.75 – $181.88

    17.5% below9 signals
    Nearest Support
    $159.75 – $181.8817.5% below9 signals
    Nearest Resistance
    $215.36 – $250.5712.3% above14 signals
    Volume POC
    $221.336.1% below POC
    Value Area
    $200.27 – $239.16Price inside value area

    Notable support sits at $160 — $182, 17% below, with 9 signals converging — major swing at $161, major swing at $166, double bottom at $168, major swing at $174, and 5 other signals. Overhead, a strong resistance cluster at $215 — $251 (12% above) needs to clear — intermediate swing at $228, major swing at $233, double top at $235, major swing at $237, and 10 other signals. The volume profile shows the highest activity around $221 (Point of Control), with the 70% value area spanning $200 to $239.

    How does this compare?

    Vs Benchmark
    9th percentileUnderperforming
    Capture Ratio (1Y)
    19.8% / 17.1%Positive asymmetry
    Upside / Downside: 19.8% / 17.1%
    Peer comparison and sector ranking coming soon

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    What risk am I taking?

    Risk Profile
    39/100Elevated risk
    Historical Volatility
    32.4%~9% monthly swings
    63-day: 27.4%
    Max Drawdown (1Y)
    -21.9%Worst peak-to-trough (1Y)
    Current: -18.1%
    Beta (1Y)
    0.22Lower than market
    Sortino (1Y)
    -0.00Weak
    Calmar (3Y): 1.18 — Good
    ATR (daily range)
    3.1%Typical daily range
    Sharpe (1Y)
    -0.00Weak

    The risk-return profile of Amazon.com Inc. is poor. The Risk Profile Score reads 39/100 — significant risk without proportional reward. The drawdown and volatility metrics suggest this is a painful asset to hold in size. The 1-year Sortino Ratio is negative (-0.0) — the asset has lost money on a risk-adjusted basis over the past year. Maximum drawdown hit -21.9%, and the loss profile is unfavourable. Beta of 0.22 indicates very low correlation to the broader market — Amazon.com Inc. moves largely independently of equity market swings.

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    Direction Assessment

    STRONG

    Confirmed uptrend with capital inflow

    WARNING

    Uptrend without volume support

    EMERGING

    Capital flowing in, trend not yet established

    WEAK

    Downtrend with capital outflow

    ← Low FlowHigh Flow →
    Risk Profile39/100

    Elevated risk. Standard positioning appropriate.

    The combined signal is weak. Both trend (18/100) and flow (26/100) confirm bearish conditions — the asset is trending down with capital leaving. The Risk Profile Score at 39/100 compounds the concern — weak trend, weak flow, and unfavourable risk metrics.

    Conclusion

    Across the framework, Amazon.com Inc. is in a weak position. Trend, flow, and momentum are aligned to the downside — the data does not currently support a bullish stance. No single indicator is at an extreme — the readings are within normal ranges across the framework, which itself is informative. These scores update daily as new data arrives. Flipside does not predict what happens next — it shows what is happening now, grounded in the data.

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