Tesla Inc. · TSLA
equityConsumer Cyclical
Last updated: February 26, 2026
Capital has been gradually leaving Tesla Inc. The Flow & Accumulation Score sits at 30/100, with Chaikin Money Flow at 0.06 indicating net selling pressure over the past 20 trading days. The trend is under pressure, with the Trend & Momentum Score at 23/100, indicating a developing downtrend. The Risk Profile Score sits at 60/100, reflecting a reasonable return-to-risk balance.
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Where is money flowing?
VWAP: Above 200d ($383.34), below 50d ($441.06)
Capital is leaving Tesla Inc. The Flow & Accumulation Score reads 30/100, indicating distribution — selling pressure is outweighing buying pressure over the measurement period. Chaikin Money Flow at 0.06 is marginally positive, with On-Balance Volume flat — there is no strong conviction from either buyers or sellers at present.
What is the trend?
| MA Period | Value | Price vs MA | Distance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10-day | 411.52 | Below | -0.7% |
| 21-day | 415.36 | Below | -1.6% |
| 50-day | 437.60 | Below | -6.6% |
| 100-day | 436.59 | Below | -6.4% |
| 200-day | 390.24 | Above | +4.7% |
The trend in Tesla Inc. is negative. The Trend & Momentum Score reads 23/100, with price below the 50-day and 200-day moving averages — the intermediate trend structure has broken down. Price has dipped below the 50-day average (-6.6%) while remaining above the 200-day (4.7%) — a pullback within a still-intact long-term uptrend.
Is momentum building or fading?
Momentum is negative across all timeframes — 10-day (-4.6%), 21-day (-5.2%), and 63-day (-2.2%) — though the rate of decline may be moderating. RSI at 44 reflects bearish momentum, though not yet at extreme levels — selling pressure is present but has not reached exhaustion. The MACD histogram remains positive despite the short-term momentum dip — the broader momentum trend has not yet shifted, though the histogram direction warrants monitoring.
How extended is this move?
Price is 6.6% below the 50-day moving average, in the 21st percentile of its historical range — meaning the asset is more stretched to the downside than it usually gets. Bollinger Band %B at 0.33 shows price in the lower half of its recent volatility range.
Where are the key levels?
$432.72 – $456.06
$379.15 – $392.42
Notable support sits at $379 — $392, 6% below, with 2 signals converging — major swing at $383 and SMA-200 at $390. Overhead, a strong resistance cluster at $433 — $456 (8% above) needs to clear — double top at $446, volume POC at $438, intermediate swing at $440, minor swing at $436, and 3 other signals. The volume profile shows the highest activity around $438 (Point of Control), with the 70% value area spanning $293 to $499.
How does this compare?
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What risk am I taking?
The risk-return profile of Tesla Inc. is good. The Risk Profile Score reads 60/100 — the return adequately compensates for the risk involved, with no major red flags in the drawdown or volatility metrics. The 1-year Sortino Ratio of 1.1 is acceptable — returns have been reasonable relative to the downside experienced. The largest drawdown over the past year was -24.3%. With a beta of 0.60, Tesla Inc. is less sensitive to broad market moves — a defensive characteristic that can reduce portfolio volatility.
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Direction Assessment
Confirmed uptrend with capital inflow
Uptrend without volume support
Capital flowing in, trend not yet established
Downtrend with capital outflow
Good risk/reward. Standard positioning appropriate.
The combined signal is weak. Both trend (23/100) and flow (30/100) confirm bearish conditions — the asset is trending down with capital leaving. The Risk Profile Score at 60/100 sits in unremarkable territory — in a weak directional environment, the risk metrics become important for sizing decisions.
Conclusion
Across the framework, Tesla Inc. is in a weak position. Trend, flow, and momentum are aligned to the downside — the data does not currently support a bullish stance. No single indicator is at an extreme — the readings are within normal ranges across the framework, which itself is informative. These scores update daily as new data arrives. Flipside does not predict what happens next — it shows what is happening now, grounded in the data.