Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund · XLY
etfConsumer Cyclical
Last updated: February 26, 2026
Capital has been gradually leaving Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund. The Flow & Accumulation Score sits at 38/100, with Chaikin Money Flow at 0.08 indicating net selling pressure over the past 20 trading days. The trend is under pressure, with the Trend & Momentum Score at 31/100, indicating a developing downtrend. The Risk Profile Score sits at 53/100, reflecting a mediocre return-to-risk balance.
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Where is money flowing?
VWAP: Below 50d ($119.94) and 200d ($172.11)
Capital is leaving Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund. The Flow & Accumulation Score reads 38/100, indicating distribution — selling pressure is outweighing buying pressure over the measurement period. Chaikin Money Flow at 0.08 is marginally positive, with On-Balance Volume flat — there is no strong conviction from either buyers or sellers at present.
What is the trend?
| MA Period | Value | Price vs MA | Distance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10-day | 116.49 | Above | +0.5% |
| 21-day | 118.16 | Below | -0.9% |
| 50-day | 120.27 | Below | -2.7% |
| 100-day | 118.92 | Below | -1.6% |
| 200-day | 115.25 | Above | +1.6% |
The trend in Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund is negative. The Trend & Momentum Score reads 31/100, with price below the 50-day and 200-day moving averages — the intermediate trend structure has broken down. Price has dipped below the 50-day average (-2.7%) while remaining above the 200-day (1.6%) — a pullback within a still-intact long-term uptrend.
Is momentum building or fading?
Short-term momentum is fading even as the longer-term trend remains positive. The 10-day rate of change has turned negative (-0.6%) while the 63-day (2.6%) remains positive — a pattern that often signals a pullback within an uptrend. RSI at 45 reflects bearish momentum, though not yet at extreme levels — selling pressure is present but has not reached exhaustion. The MACD histogram remains positive despite the short-term momentum dip — the broader momentum trend has not yet shifted, though the histogram direction warrants monitoring.
How extended is this move?
Price sits 2.7% below the 50-day moving average — near or slightly below the intermediate trend line (22nd percentile of its historical range). Bollinger Band %B at 0.39 shows price in the lower half of its recent volatility range.
Where are the key levels?
$114.44 – $125.97
No strong confluence support zone is currently identified — the 52-week low at $114 (3% below) is the next major structural reference. Overhead, a strong resistance cluster at $114 — $126 (1% above) needs to clear — double bottom at $116, double bottom at $117, major swing at $125, volume POC at $122, and 7 other signals. The volume profile shows the highest activity around $122 (Point of Control), with the 70% value area spanning $114 to $230. The 52-week high at $243 sits 108% above, with price at the 2% mark of its annual range.
How does this compare?
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What risk am I taking?
The risk-return profile of Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund is mediocre. The Risk Profile Score sits at 53/100 — the return-to-risk trade-off is unremarkable, suggesting caution with position sizing. The 1-year Sortino Ratio of 0.5 is below average — returns have barely compensated for the downside volatility. The largest drawdown over the past year reached -18.1%.
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Direction Assessment
Confirmed uptrend with capital inflow
Uptrend without volume support
Capital flowing in, trend not yet established
Downtrend with capital outflow
Average. Standard positioning appropriate.
The combined signal is weak. Both trend (31/100) and flow (38/100) confirm bearish conditions — the asset is trending down with capital leaving. The Risk Profile Score at 53/100 sits in unremarkable territory — in a weak directional environment, the risk metrics become important for sizing decisions.
Conclusion
Across the framework, Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund is in a weak position. Trend, flow, and momentum are aligned to the downside — the data does not currently support a bullish stance. No single indicator is at an extreme — the readings are within normal ranges across the framework, which itself is informative. These scores update daily as new data arrives. Flipside does not predict what happens next — it shows what is happening now, grounded in the data.