Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund · XLE

Money is flowing aggressively into Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund. The Flow & Accumulation Score reads 89/100, placing it in the Strong Accumulation category — the highest level of capital inflow the framework measures. Chaikin Money Flow at 0.22 and On-Balance Volume (flat) provide a mixed picture of flow dynamics.

Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund is in a strong, established uptrend. The Trend & Momentum Score reads 89/100 with price above all major moving averages in bullish alignment. Price is 23.5% above the 200-day moving average — a substantial distance that reflects the strength of the long-term move but also suggests the asset is far from its long-term mean.

Momentum is positive across all timeframes — 10-day (0.1%), 21-day (10.8%), and 63-day (24.5%) rate of change are all in positive territory — though the alignment suggests the pace of gains is stabilising rather than accelerating. RSI at 69 reflects healthy bullish momentum without reaching overbought levels — there is room for further upside before the indicator signals caution. One note of caution: the MACD histogram has turned negative despite positive rate-of-change readings — this can be an early signal that momentum is beginning to roll over.

Price is 11.9% above the 50-day moving average, which is in the 94th percentile of its own history — a level of extension that has rarely been sustained. Even in strong uptrends, moves this stretched tend to consolidate or pull back toward the mean. Bollinger Band %B at 0.73 shows price in the upper half of its recent volatility range.

The nearest support reference is $53 — $55, 2% below — SMA-21 at $53 and SMA-10 at $55. Overhead, a strong resistance cluster at $84 — $99 (69% above) needs to clear — major swing at $86, major swing at $89, double top at $91, major swing at $93, and 16 other signals. The volume Point of Control over the past year sits at $88, where the most trading activity occurred — a significant level if price revisits that area. The 52-week high at $95 sits 72% above, with price at the 22% mark of its annual range.

The risk-return profile of Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund is good. The Risk Profile Score reads 65/100 — the return adequately compensates for the risk involved, with no major red flags in the drawdown or volatility metrics. The 1-year Sortino Ratio of 1.1 is acceptable — returns have been reasonable relative to the downside experienced. The largest drawdown over the past year was -18.8%.