Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund · XLK

    etf

    Technology

    141.01-2.00 (-1.40%)

    Last updated: February 26, 2026

    Capital has been gradually leaving Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund. The Flow & Accumulation Score sits at 27/100, with Chaikin Money Flow at -0.01 indicating net selling pressure over the past 20 trading days. The trend is under pressure, with the Trend & Momentum Score at 31/100, indicating a developing downtrend. The Risk Profile Score sits at 67/100, reflecting a reasonable return-to-risk balance.

    Flow & Accumulation
    27/100Distribution
    Trend & Momentum
    31/100Downtrend
    Risk Profile
    67/100Good risk/reward

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    Where is money flowing?

    Flow & Accumulation
    27/100Distribution

    VWAP: Below 50d ($142.75) and 200d ($200.52)

    CMF (20-day)
    -0.01Slightly negative
    Relative Volume
    0.82×Average
    Force Index (13-day)
    -5.9MSelling pressure
    OBV Trend (21-day)
    FallingConfirming price trend

    Capital is leaving Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund. The Flow & Accumulation Score reads 27/100, indicating distribution — selling pressure is outweighing buying pressure over the measurement period. Chaikin Money Flow at -0.01 and On-Balance Volume (flat) provide a mixed picture of flow dynamics.

    What is the trend?

    Trend & Momentum
    31/100Downtrend
    MA PeriodValuePrice vs MADistance
    10-day140.31Above+0.5%
    21-day141.63Below-0.4%
    50-day143.48Below-1.7%
    100-day143.91Below-2.0%
    200-day135.78Above+3.9%
    ADX (14-day)
    40.1Strong Trend
    +DI / −DI: 11.4 / 18.4
    Trend State
    Neutral / Range-boundState 3 of 5

    The trend in Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund is negative. The Trend & Momentum Score reads 31/100, with price below the 50-day and 200-day moving averages — the intermediate trend structure has broken down. Price has dipped below the 50-day average (-1.7%) while remaining above the 200-day (3.9%) — a pullback within a still-intact long-term uptrend.

    Is momentum building or fading?

    RSI (14-day)
    47.9Bearish
    MACD Histogram
    0.18Building
    Line / Signal: -0.90 / -1.07
    ROC Alignment
    -1.4%Mixed signals
    21d / 63d: -4.8% / +1.0%

    Short-term momentum is fading even as the longer-term trend remains positive. The 10-day rate of change has turned negative (-1.4%) while the 63-day (1.0%) remains positive — a pattern that often signals a pullback within an uptrend. RSI at 48 sits near the midline — momentum is essentially neutral, with neither buyers nor sellers showing clear dominance. The MACD histogram remains positive despite the short-term momentum dip — the broader momentum trend has not yet shifted, though the histogram direction warrants monitoring.

    How extended is this move?

    Distance from 50d MA
    -1.7%23th percentile of history
    Bollinger %B
    0.48Middle zone
    Upper / Lower: 146.45 / 136.04
    Bollinger Bandwidth
    0.07Normal
    Percentile: 43th

    Price sits 1.7% below the 50-day moving average — near or slightly below the intermediate trend line (23rd percentile of its historical range). Bollinger Band %B at 0.48 places price near the middle of its recent range — neither stretched to the upside nor oversold to the downside.

    Where are the key levels?

    Resistance

    $133.72 – $151.26

    1.4% above14 signals
    Current$141.01
    Nearest Support
    Nearest Resistance
    $133.72 – $151.261.4% above14 signals
    Volume POC
    $144.582.5% below POC
    Value Area
    $135.08 – $270.72Price inside value area

    No strong confluence support zone is currently identified — the 52-week low at $135 (4% below) is the next major structural reference. Overhead, a strong resistance cluster at $134 — $151 (1% above) needs to clear — intermediate swing at $135, major swing at $139, double bottom at $140, double top at $147, and 10 other signals. The volume profile shows the highest activity around $145 (Point of Control), with the 70% value area spanning $135 to $271. The 52-week high at $306 sits 117% above, with price at the 3% mark of its annual range.

    How does this compare?

    Vs Benchmark
    Capture Ratio (1Y)
    Upside / Downside:
    Peer comparison and sector ranking coming soon

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    What risk am I taking?

    Risk Profile
    67/100Good risk/reward
    Historical Volatility
    27.7%~8% monthly swings
    63-day: 21.2%
    Max Drawdown (1Y)
    -22.1%Worst peak-to-trough (1Y)
    Current: -7.1%
    Beta (1Y)
    Sortino (1Y)
    1.03Good
    Calmar (3Y): 1.24 — Good
    ATR (daily range)
    3.9%Typical daily range
    Sharpe (1Y)
    0.78Adequate

    The risk-return profile of Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund is good. The Risk Profile Score reads 67/100 — the return adequately compensates for the risk involved, with no major red flags in the drawdown or volatility metrics. The 1-year Sortino Ratio of 1.0 is acceptable — returns have been reasonable relative to the downside experienced. The largest drawdown over the past year was -22.1%.

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    Direction Assessment

    STRONG

    Confirmed uptrend with capital inflow

    WARNING

    Uptrend without volume support

    EMERGING

    Capital flowing in, trend not yet established

    WEAK

    Downtrend with capital outflow

    ← Low FlowHigh Flow →
    Risk Profile67/100

    Good risk/reward. Standard positioning appropriate.

    The combined signal is weak. Both trend (31/100) and flow (27/100) confirm bearish conditions — the asset is trending down with capital leaving. The Risk Profile Score at 67/100 sits in unremarkable territory — in a weak directional environment, the risk metrics become important for sizing decisions.

    Conclusion

    Across the framework, Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund is in a weak position. Trend, flow, and momentum are aligned to the downside — the data does not currently support a bullish stance. No single indicator is at an extreme — the readings are within normal ranges across the framework, which itself is informative. These scores update daily as new data arrives. Flipside does not predict what happens next — it shows what is happening now, grounded in the data.

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