Invesco QQQ Trust · QQQ

    etf
    609.24-7.44 (-1.21%)

    Last updated: February 26, 2026

    Capital has been gradually leaving Invesco QQQ Trust. The Flow & Accumulation Score sits at 30/100, with Chaikin Money Flow at 0.05 indicating net selling pressure over the past 20 trading days. The trend picture is neutral — the Trend & Momentum Score sits at 42/100, suggesting no clear directional conviction. The Risk Profile Score sits at 71/100, reflecting a reasonable return-to-risk balance.

    Flow & Accumulation
    30/100Distribution
    Trend & Momentum
    42/100Neutral / Transitioning
    Risk Profile
    71/100Good risk/reward

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    Where is money flowing?

    Flow & Accumulation
    30/100Distribution

    VWAP: Above 200d ($587.58), below 50d ($614.40)

    CMF (20-day)
    0.05Positive
    Relative Volume
    1.38×Above average
    Force Index (13-day)
    -55.7MSelling pressure
    OBV Trend (21-day)
    Falling

    Capital is leaving Invesco QQQ Trust. The Flow & Accumulation Score reads 30/100, indicating distribution — selling pressure is outweighing buying pressure over the measurement period. Chaikin Money Flow at 0.05 is marginally positive, with On-Balance Volume flat — there is no strong conviction from either buyers or sellers at present. Volume is running at 1.4x the 20-day average — above normal, suggesting increased participation.

    What is the trend?

    Trend & Momentum
    42/100Neutral / Transitioning
    MA PeriodValuePrice vs MADistance
    10-day605.71Above+0.6%
    21-day611.22Below-0.3%
    50-day615.81Below-1.1%
    100-day614.22Below-0.8%
    200-day585.21Above+4.1%
    ADX (14-day)
    17.4Weak / No Trend
    +DI / −DI: 19.3 / 23.5
    Trend State
    Neutral / Range-boundState 3 of 5

    Invesco QQQ Trust is in a neutral or transitioning phase. The Trend & Momentum Score sits at 42/100, with mixed moving average alignment — no clear trend signal is present. Price has dipped below the 50-day average (-1.1%) while remaining above the 200-day (4.1%) — a pullback within a still-intact long-term uptrend.

    Is momentum building or fading?

    RSI (14-day)
    48.4Bearish
    MACD Histogram
    0.68Building
    Line / Signal: -2.65 / -3.33
    ROC Alignment
    -0.6%Mixed signals
    21d / 63d: -3.5% / +0.8%

    Short-term momentum is fading even as the longer-term trend remains positive. The 10-day rate of change has turned negative (-0.6%) while the 63-day (0.8%) remains positive — a pattern that often signals a pullback within an uptrend. RSI at 48 sits near the midline — momentum is essentially neutral, with neither buyers nor sellers showing clear dominance. The MACD histogram remains positive despite the short-term momentum dip — the broader momentum trend has not yet shifted, though the histogram direction warrants monitoring.

    How extended is this move?

    Distance from 50d MA
    -1.1%24th percentile of history
    Bollinger %B
    0.47Middle zone
    Upper / Lower: 627.60 / 592.64
    Bollinger Bandwidth
    0.06Normal
    Percentile: 49th

    Price sits 1.1% below the 50-day moving average — near or slightly below the intermediate trend line (24th percentile of its historical range). Bollinger Band %B at 0.47 places price near the middle of its recent range — neither stretched to the upside nor oversold to the downside.

    Where are the key levels?

    Resistance

    $637.01

    4.6% above52-Week High
    Current$609.24
    Support

    $578.22 – $639.53

    0.1% below21 signals
    Nearest Support
    $578.22 – $639.530.1% below21 signals
    Nearest Resistance
    $637.014.6% above · 52-week high
    Volume POC
    $619.541.7% below POC
    Value Area
    $527.19 – $637.01Price inside value area

    The strongest support zone is $578 — $640, 0% below current price, where 21 independent signals converge — major swing at $581, double bottom at $585, intermediate swing at $589, double bottom at $605, and 17 other signals. No major resistance cluster is identified below the 52-week high at $637 (5% above). The volume profile shows the highest activity around $620 (Point of Control), with the 70% value area spanning $527 to $637.

    How does this compare?

    Vs Benchmark
    Capture Ratio (1Y)
    Upside / Downside:
    Peer comparison and sector ranking coming soon

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    What risk am I taking?

    Risk Profile
    71/100Good risk/reward
    Historical Volatility
    18.3%~5% monthly swings
    63-day: 15.0%
    Max Drawdown (1Y)
    -19.0%Worst peak-to-trough (1Y)
    Current: -4.0%
    Beta (1Y)
    Sortino (1Y)
    0.92Weak
    Calmar (3Y): 1.35 — Good
    ATR (daily range)
    1.7%Typical daily range
    Sharpe (1Y)
    0.70Adequate

    The risk-return profile of Invesco QQQ Trust is good. The Risk Profile Score reads 71/100 — the return adequately compensates for the risk involved, with no major red flags in the drawdown or volatility metrics. The 1-year Sortino Ratio of 0.9 is acceptable — returns have been reasonable relative to the downside experienced. The largest drawdown over the past year was -19.0%.

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    Direction Assessment

    STRONG

    Confirmed uptrend with capital inflow

    WARNING

    Uptrend without volume support

    EMERGING

    Capital flowing in, trend not yet established

    WEAK

    Downtrend with capital outflow

    ← Low FlowHigh Flow →
    Risk Profile71/100

    Good risk/reward. Standard positioning appropriate.

    The combined signal is neutral. With trend at 42/100 and flow at 30/100, neither dimension provides a clear directional reading — the asset is in a transitional or range-bound state. The Risk Profile Score at 71/100 sits in favourable territory — in a neutral directional environment, the risk metrics become important for sizing decisions.

    Conclusion

    Invesco QQQ Trust is in a transitional phase. The data does not support a strong directional view — indicators are mixed, and the asset could resolve in either direction. No single indicator is at an extreme — the readings are within normal ranges across the framework, which itself is informative. These scores update daily as new data arrives. Flipside does not predict what happens next — it shows what is happening now, grounded in the data.

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