Invesco DB Agriculture Fund · DBA
commodityLast updated: February 26, 2026
Money flow into Invesco DB Agriculture Fund is moderately positive. The Flow & Accumulation Score reads 69/100, with Chaikin Money Flow at 0.29 over the past 20 trading days. The broader trend remains positive, with the Trend & Momentum Score at 68/100, though not at its strongest. The Risk Profile Score sits at 53/100, reflecting a mediocre return-to-risk balance.
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Where is money flowing?
VWAP: Above 50d ($25.75), below 200d ($26.18)
Money flow into Invesco DB Agriculture Fund is positive. The Flow & Accumulation Score reads 69/100, indicating steady accumulation — capital is coming in, though not at extreme levels. Chaikin Money Flow at 0.29 and On-Balance Volume (flat) provide a mixed picture of flow dynamics.
What is the trend?
| MA Period | Value | Price vs MA | Distance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10-day | 25.93 | Above | +0.5% |
| 21-day | 25.84 | Above | +0.8% |
| 50-day | 25.70 | Above | +1.4% |
| 100-day | 25.60 | Above | +1.7% |
| 200-day | 25.71 | Above | +1.3% |
The trend in Invesco DB Agriculture Fund is positive. The Trend & Momentum Score reads 68/100, with price above the key 50-day and 200-day moving averages — the intermediate and long-term trend structure is intact.
Is momentum building or fading?
Momentum is positive across all timeframes — 10-day (0.9%), 21-day (0.8%), and 63-day (5.1%) rate of change are all in positive territory — though the alignment suggests the pace of gains is stabilising rather than accelerating. RSI at 61 reflects healthy bullish momentum without reaching overbought levels — there is room for further upside before the indicator signals caution. The MACD histogram is positive, confirming the momentum picture — trend strength and directional indicators are in agreement.
How extended is this move?
Price is 1.4% above the 50-day moving average — a mild extension within the normal range (80th percentile of its historical range). There is no significant stretch to flag. Within the Bollinger Bands, price sits near the upper band (%B at 0.89) — in the upper range of recent volatility, suggesting the short-term move is approaching its statistical limits. Bollinger Bandwidth has compressed to 0.021 — volatility is unusually low, a condition often referred to as a squeeze. Historically, periods of compressed volatility tend to precede significant moves in one direction.
Where are the key levels?
$27.48 – $27.88
$25.04 – $26.33
The strongest support zone is $25 — $26, 1% below current price, where 22 independent signals converge — double bottom at $25, major swing at $25, double bottom at $25, major swing at $25, and 18 other signals. Overhead, a strong resistance cluster at $27 — $28 (6% above) needs to clear — double top at $28, double top at $28, double top at $28, major swing at $28, and 3 other signals. The volume profile shows the highest activity around $26 (Point of Control), with the 70% value area spanning $26 to $27.
How does this compare?
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What risk am I taking?
The risk-return profile of Invesco DB Agriculture Fund is mediocre. The Risk Profile Score sits at 53/100 — the return-to-risk trade-off is unremarkable, suggesting caution with position sizing. The 1-year Sortino Ratio is negative (-0.4) — the asset has lost money on a risk-adjusted basis over the past year. Maximum drawdown hit -8.0%, and the loss profile is unfavourable. Beta of 0.06 indicates very low correlation to the broader market — Invesco DB Agriculture Fund moves largely independently of equity market swings.
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Direction Assessment
Confirmed uptrend with capital inflow
Uptrend without volume support
Capital flowing in, trend not yet established
Downtrend with capital outflow
Average. Standard positioning appropriate.
The combined signal is strong. Both trend (68/100) and flow (69/100) are in positive territory and confirming each other — the asset is trending up with capital backing the move. The Risk Profile Score at 53/100 is adequate — the risk metrics are not a concern but are also not a standout strength.
Conclusion
Across the framework, Invesco DB Agriculture Fund presents a constructive picture. Trend, flow, and momentum indicators are broadly aligned to the upside. No single indicator is at an extreme — the readings are within normal ranges across the framework, which itself is informative. These scores update daily as new data arrives. Flipside does not predict what happens next — it shows what is happening now, grounded in the data.