iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF · SHY
bondLast updated: February 26, 2026
Money flow in iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF is balanced, with neither strong accumulation nor distribution. The Flow & Accumulation Score reads 52/100 — a neutral reading with no clear directional bias. The broader trend remains positive, with the Trend & Momentum Score at 74/100, though not at its strongest. One thing to note: RSI at 71 indicates momentum is in overbought territory, which historically tends to precede a pause or pullback, even in strong trends.
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Where is money flowing?
VWAP: Above 50d ($82.82) and 200d ($82.43)
Money flow in iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF is neutral. The Flow & Accumulation Score reads 52/100 — neither buyers nor sellers are dominating, and capital commitment is balanced. Chaikin Money Flow at -0.83 and On-Balance Volume (flat) provide a mixed picture of flow dynamics. Volume is running at 1.8x the 20-day average — above normal, suggesting increased participation.
What is the trend?
| MA Period | Value | Price vs MA | Distance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10-day | 83.02 | Above | +0.1% |
| 21-day | 82.89 | Above | +0.2% |
| 50-day | 82.70 | Above | +0.4% |
| 100-day | 82.40 | Above | +0.8% |
| 200-day | 81.65 | Above | +1.7% |
The trend in iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF is positive. The Trend & Momentum Score reads 74/100, with price above the key 50-day and 200-day moving averages — the intermediate and long-term trend structure is intact.
Is momentum building or fading?
Momentum is positive across all timeframes — 10-day (0.3%), 21-day (0.5%), and 63-day (0.9%) rate of change are all in positive territory — though the alignment suggests the pace of gains is stabilising rather than accelerating. RSI at 71 is in overbought territory — while this confirms strong upward momentum, readings above 70 historically tend to precede pauses or pullbacks. The MACD histogram is positive, confirming the momentum picture — trend strength and directional indicators are in agreement.
How extended is this move?
Price is 0.4% above the 50-day moving average — a mild extension within the normal range (50th percentile of its historical range). There is no significant stretch to flag. Bollinger Band %B at 0.80 shows price in the upper half of its recent volatility range. Bollinger Bandwidth has compressed to 0.007 — volatility is unusually low, a condition often referred to as a squeeze. Historically, periods of compressed volatility tend to precede significant moves in one direction.
Where are the key levels?
$83.27 – $83.33
$82.54 – $83.17
The strongest support zone is $83 — $83, 0% below current price, where 13 independent signals converge — double bottom at $83, major swing at $83, major swing at $83, double bottom at $83, and 9 other signals. The nearest resistance reference is $83 — $83, 0% above — major swing at $83. The volume profile shows the highest activity around $83 (Point of Control), with the 70% value area spanning $82 to $83. Price is within 0% of the 52-week high at $83.
How does this compare?
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What risk am I taking?
The risk-return profile of iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF is good. The Risk Profile Score reads 77/100 — the return adequately compensates for the risk involved, with no major red flags in the drawdown or volatility metrics. The 1-year Sortino Ratio of 0.8 is acceptable — returns have been reasonable relative to the downside experienced. The largest drawdown over the past year was -0.7%.
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Direction Assessment
Confirmed uptrend with capital inflow
Uptrend without volume support
Capital flowing in, trend not yet established
Downtrend with capital outflow
Good risk/reward. Standard positioning appropriate.
The combined signal is neutral. With trend at 74/100 and flow at 52/100, neither dimension provides a clear directional reading — the asset is in a transitional or range-bound state. The Risk Profile Score at 77/100 sits in favourable territory — in a neutral directional environment, the risk metrics become important for sizing decisions.
Conclusion
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF is in a transitional phase. The data does not support a strong directional view — indicators are mixed, and the asset could resolve in either direction. No single indicator is at an extreme — the readings are within normal ranges across the framework, which itself is informative. These scores update daily as new data arrives. Flipside does not predict what happens next — it shows what is happening now, grounded in the data.