iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF · IEF
bondLast updated: February 26, 2026
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF is in a strong, confirmed uptrend. The Trend & Momentum Score reads 80/100, with price sitting above all major moving averages and ADX confirming meaningful trend strength. Flow data is inconclusive — the Flow & Accumulation Score at 60/100 shows no strong directional conviction from buyers or sellers. One thing to note: RSI at 71 indicates momentum is in overbought territory, which historically tends to precede a pause or pullback, even in strong trends.
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Where is money flowing?
VWAP: Above 50d ($96.27) and 200d ($95.50)
Money flow into iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF is positive. The Flow & Accumulation Score reads 60/100, indicating steady accumulation — capital is coming in, though not at extreme levels. Chaikin Money Flow at -0.05 and On-Balance Volume (flat) provide a mixed picture of flow dynamics.
What is the trend?
| MA Period | Value | Price vs MA | Distance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10-day | 97.22 | Above | +0.4% |
| 21-day | 96.50 | Above | +1.1% |
| 50-day | 96.14 | Above | +1.5% |
| 100-day | 96.01 | Above | +1.7% |
| 200-day | 94.58 | Above | +3.2% |
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF is in a strong, established uptrend. The Trend & Momentum Score reads 80/100 with price above all major moving averages in bullish alignment.
Is momentum building or fading?
Momentum is positive across all timeframes — 10-day (1.4%), 21-day (2.0%), and 63-day (1.2%) rate of change are all in positive territory — though the alignment suggests the pace of gains is stabilising rather than accelerating. RSI at 71 is in overbought territory — while this confirms strong upward momentum, readings above 70 historically tend to precede pauses or pullbacks. The MACD histogram is positive, confirming the momentum picture — trend strength and directional indicators are in agreement.
How extended is this move?
Price is 1.5% above the 50-day moving average — a mild extension within the normal range (81st percentile of its historical range). There is no significant stretch to flag. Within the Bollinger Bands, price sits near the upper band (%B at 0.85) — in the upper range of recent volatility, suggesting the short-term move is approaching its statistical limits. Bollinger Bandwidth has compressed to 0.031 — volatility is unusually low, a condition often referred to as a squeeze. Historically, periods of compressed volatility tend to precede significant moves in one direction.
Where are the key levels?
$97.56 – $98.10
$92.50 – $93.11
The strongest support zone is $92 — $93, 5% below current price, where 7 independent signals converge — major swing at $93, double bottom at $93, major swing at $93, double bottom at $93, and 3 other signals. Overhead, a strong resistance cluster at $98 — $98 (0% above) needs to clear — double top at $98, major swing at $98, double top at $98, and minor swing at $98. The volume profile shows the highest activity around $97 (Point of Control), with the 70% value area spanning $95 to $97. Price is within 0% of the 52-week high at $98.
How does this compare?
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What risk am I taking?
The risk-return profile of iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF is good. The Risk Profile Score reads 62/100 — the return adequately compensates for the risk involved, with no major red flags in the drawdown or volatility metrics. The 1-year Sortino Ratio of 1.0 is acceptable — returns have been reasonable relative to the downside experienced. The largest drawdown over the past year was -3.2%.
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Direction Assessment
Confirmed uptrend with capital inflow
Uptrend without volume support
Capital flowing in, trend not yet established
Downtrend with capital outflow
Good risk/reward. Standard positioning appropriate.
The combined signal is strong. Both trend (80/100) and flow (60/100) are in positive territory and confirming each other — the asset is trending up with capital backing the move. The Risk Profile Score at 62/100 is adequate — the risk metrics are not a concern but are also not a standout strength.
Conclusion
Across the framework, iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF presents a constructive picture. Trend, flow, and momentum indicators are broadly aligned to the upside. No single indicator is at an extreme — the readings are within normal ranges across the framework, which itself is informative. These scores update daily as new data arrives. Flipside does not predict what happens next — it shows what is happening now, grounded in the data.