iShares MSCI EAFE ETF · EFA
etfLast updated: February 26, 2026
iShares MSCI EAFE ETF is in a strong, confirmed uptrend. The Trend & Momentum Score reads 90/100, with price sitting above all major moving averages and ADX confirming meaningful trend strength. Flow data supports the picture — the Flow & Accumulation Score at 78/100 shows capital moving in. The Risk Profile Score at 86/100 suggests the return-to-risk trade-off is favourable — downside has been well-contained relative to the gains delivered.
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Where is money flowing?
VWAP: Above 50d ($99.86) and 200d ($93.90)
Money flow into iShares MSCI EAFE ETF is positive. The Flow & Accumulation Score reads 78/100, indicating steady accumulation — capital is coming in, though not at extreme levels. Chaikin Money Flow at 0.21 and On-Balance Volume (flat) provide a mixed picture of flow dynamics. Volume is running at 1.3x the 20-day average — above normal, suggesting increased participation.
What is the trend?
| MA Period | Value | Price vs MA | Distance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10-day | 104.63 | Above | +0.9% |
| 21-day | 103.35 | Above | +2.1% |
| 50-day | 100.05 | Above | +5.5% |
| 100-day | 96.50 | Above | +9.4% |
| 200-day | 92.32 | Above | +14.4% |
iShares MSCI EAFE ETF is in a strong, established uptrend. The Trend & Momentum Score reads 90/100 with price above all major moving averages in bullish alignment.
Is momentum building or fading?
Momentum is positive across all timeframes — 10-day (0.6%), 21-day (3.4%), and 63-day (15.9%) rate of change are all in positive territory — though the alignment suggests the pace of gains is stabilising rather than accelerating. RSI at 69 reflects healthy bullish momentum without reaching overbought levels — there is room for further upside before the indicator signals caution. One note of caution: the MACD histogram has turned negative despite positive rate-of-change readings — this can be an early signal that momentum is beginning to roll over.
How extended is this move?
Price sits 5.5% above the 50-day moving average, placing this extension in the 86th percentile of its historical range. The move is moderately extended — not at extremes, but above the typical range. Within the Bollinger Bands, price sits near the upper band (%B at 0.82) — in the upper range of recent volatility, suggesting the short-term move is approaching its statistical limits.
Where are the key levels?
$85.41 – $90.31
Notable support sits at $85 — $90, 17% below, with 10 signals converging — major swing at $86, double bottom at $86, major swing at $87, double bottom at $87, and 6 other signals. No major resistance cluster is identified below the 52-week high at $106 (0% above). The volume profile shows the highest activity around $95 (Point of Control), with the 70% value area spanning $84 to $100. Price is within 0% of the 52-week high at $106.
How does this compare?
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What risk am I taking?
The risk-return profile of iShares MSCI EAFE ETF is excellent. The Risk Profile Score reads 86/100 — strong returns with well-contained downside, a combination that supports meaningful position sizing. The 1-year Sortino Ratio of 2.1 is strong — returns have been well above what the downside volatility would justify. Maximum drawdown over the past year was -14.1%, indicating the losses, when they came, were contained.
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Direction Assessment
Confirmed uptrend with capital inflow
Uptrend without volume support
Capital flowing in, trend not yet established
Downtrend with capital outflow
Excellent risk/reward. Standard positioning appropriate.
The combined signal is strong. Both trend (90/100) and flow (78/100) are in positive territory and confirming each other — the asset is trending up with capital backing the move. The Risk Profile Score at 86/100 supports the positive reading — the return-to-risk trade-off is favourable, meaning the strength is being delivered with contained downside.
Conclusion
Across the framework, iShares MSCI EAFE ETF presents a constructive picture. Trend, flow, and momentum indicators are broadly aligned to the upside. The risk profile is the standout — at 86/100, the excellent return-to-risk trade-off is the most defining characteristic for sizing decisions. These scores update daily as new data arrives. Flipside does not predict what happens next — it shows what is happening now, grounded in the data.