MARA Holdings Inc. · MARA

    equity

    Technology

    8.45-0.12 (-1.40%)

    Last updated: February 26, 2026

    Capital has been gradually leaving MARA Holdings Inc. The Flow & Accumulation Score sits at 36/100, with Chaikin Money Flow at -0.07 indicating net selling pressure over the past 20 trading days. The trend picture is neutral — the Trend & Momentum Score sits at 41/100, suggesting no clear directional conviction. The Risk Profile Score at 22/100 flags that the return does not currently compensate for the volatility and drawdown risk involved.

    Flow & Accumulation
    36/100Distribution
    Trend & Momentum
    41/100Neutral / Transitioning
    Risk Profile
    22/100Elevated risk

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    Where is money flowing?

    Flow & Accumulation
    36/100Distribution

    VWAP: Below 50d ($9.36) and 200d ($14.83)

    CMF (20-day)
    -0.07Slightly negative
    Relative Volume
    0.87×Average
    Force Index (13-day)
    2.9MBuying pressure
    OBV Trend (21-day)
    Falling

    Capital is leaving MARA Holdings Inc. The Flow & Accumulation Score reads 36/100, indicating distribution — selling pressure is outweighing buying pressure over the measurement period. The 20-day Chaikin Money Flow reads -0.07, marginally negative over the measurement period.

    What is the trend?

    Trend & Momentum
    41/100Neutral / Transitioning
    MA PeriodValuePrice vs MADistance
    10-day7.91Above+6.9%
    21-day8.26Above+2.3%
    50-day9.41Below-10.2%
    100-day12.59Below-32.9%
    200-day14.49Below-41.7%
    ADX (14-day)
    21.4Moderate
    +DI / −DI: 19.3 / 19.2
    Trend State
    DowntrendState 2 of 5

    MARA Holdings Inc. is in a neutral or transitioning phase. The Trend & Momentum Score sits at 41/100, with mixed moving average alignment — no clear trend signal is present. Price is 41.7% below the 200-day moving average — a deep deviation from the long-term mean that reflects persistent selling pressure.

    Is momentum building or fading?

    RSI (14-day)
    47.9Bearish
    MACD Histogram
    0.17Building
    Line / Signal: -0.46 / -0.63
    ROC Alignment
    +11.8%Mixed signals
    21d / 63d: -19.7% / -24.6%

    Short-term momentum is picking up against a negative longer-term backdrop. The 10-day rate of change reads 11.8% while the 63-day sits at -24.6% — a potential early signal of a momentum shift. RSI at 48 sits near the midline — momentum is essentially neutral, with neither buyers nor sellers showing clear dominance.

    How extended is this move?

    Distance from 50d MA
    -10.2%37th percentile of history
    Bollinger %B
    0.60Middle zone
    Upper / Lower: 9.69 / 6.62
    Bollinger Bandwidth
    0.38Normal
    Percentile: 67th

    Price is 10.2% below the 50-day moving average (37th percentile of its historical range). Bollinger Band %B at 0.60 places price near the middle of its recent range — neither stretched to the upside nor oversold to the downside. Bollinger Bandwidth at 0.377 shows expanded volatility — the asset is making larger-than-normal moves. High bandwidth typically follows a breakout or breakdown and can persist during trending moves.

    Where are the key levels?

    Resistance

    $19.86 – $22.23

    149.7% above9 signals
    Current$8.45
    Support

    $7.80 – $8.37

    4.3% below2 signals
    Nearest Support
    $7.80 – $8.374.3% below2 signals
    Nearest Resistance
    $19.86 – $22.23149.7% above9 signals
    Volume POC
    $15.7746.4% below POC
    Value Area
    $11.66 – $19.88Price outside value area

    The nearest support reference is $7.8 — $8.4, 4% below — SMA-10 at $7.91 and SMA-21 at $8.26. Resistance sits at $20 — $22, 150% above — double top at $20, double top at $21, major swing at $21, double top at $21, and 5 other signals. The volume Point of Control over the past year sits at $16, where the most trading activity occurred — a significant level if price revisits that area. The 52-week high at $23 sits 178% above, with price at the 11% mark of its annual range.

    How does this compare?

    Vs Benchmark
    8th percentileUnderperforming
    Capture Ratio (1Y)
    134.4% / 127.5%Positive asymmetry
    Upside / Downside: 134.4% / 127.5%
    Peer comparison and sector ranking coming soon

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    What risk am I taking?

    Risk Profile
    22/100Elevated risk
    Historical Volatility
    122.6%~35% monthly swings
    63-day: 88.4%
    Max Drawdown (1Y)
    -70.5%Worst peak-to-trough (1Y)
    Current: -63.0%
    Beta (1Y)
    1.28Higher than market
    Sortino (1Y)
    -0.15Weak
    Calmar (3Y): 0.91 — Good
    ATR (daily range)
    8.5%Typical daily range
    Sharpe (1Y)
    -0.09Weak

    The risk-return profile of MARA Holdings Inc. is poor. The Risk Profile Score reads 22/100 — significant risk without proportional reward. The drawdown and volatility metrics suggest this is a painful asset to hold in size. The 1-year Sortino Ratio is negative (-0.1) — the asset has lost money on a risk-adjusted basis over the past year. Maximum drawdown hit -70.5%, and the loss profile is unfavourable. Beta of 1.28 means MARA Holdings Inc. moves somewhat more than the market — modestly higher sensitivity to broad market swings. Daily volatility (21-day) is 122.6%.

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    Direction Assessment

    STRONG

    Confirmed uptrend with capital inflow

    WARNING

    Uptrend without volume support

    EMERGING

    Capital flowing in, trend not yet established

    WEAK

    Downtrend with capital outflow

    ← Low FlowHigh Flow →
    Risk Profile22/100

    Elevated risk. Standard positioning appropriate.

    The combined signal is neutral. With trend at 41/100 and flow at 36/100, neither dimension provides a clear directional reading — the asset is in a transitional or range-bound state. The Risk Profile Score at 22/100 sits in concerning territory — in a neutral directional environment, the risk metrics become important for sizing decisions.

    Conclusion

    MARA Holdings Inc. is in a transitional phase. The data does not support a strong directional view — indicators are mixed, and the asset could resolve in either direction. No single indicator is at an extreme — the readings are within normal ranges across the framework, which itself is informative. These scores update daily as new data arrives. Flipside does not predict what happens next — it shows what is happening now, grounded in the data.

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