Microsoft Corporation · MSFT

Heavy distribution is underway in Microsoft Corporation. The Flow & Accumulation Score has fallen to 15/100, signalling aggressive capital outflow — sellers are firmly in control. The 20-day Chaikin Money Flow reads -0.13, confirming outflow over the measurement period.

The trend in Microsoft Corporation is negative. The Trend & Momentum Score reads 20/100, with price below the 50-day and 200-day moving averages — the intermediate trend structure has broken down.

Momentum is negative across all timeframes — 10-day (-0.7%), 21-day (-16.4%), and 63-day (-15.2%) — though the rate of decline may be moderating. RSI at 40 reflects bearish momentum, though not yet at extreme levels — selling pressure is present but has not reached exhaustion. The MACD histogram remains positive despite the short-term momentum dip — the broader momentum trend has not yet shifted, though the histogram direction warrants monitoring.

Price is 10.1% below the 50-day moving average, in the 7th percentile of its historical range — meaning the asset is more stretched to the downside than it usually gets. Bollinger Band %B at 0.43 places price near the middle of its recent range — neither stretched to the upside nor oversold to the downside.

The strongest support zone is $385 — $399, 3% below current price, where 4 independent signals converge — major swing at $388, double bottom at $390, intermediate swing at $392, and SMA-10 at $397. Overhead, a strong resistance cluster at $407 — $459 (8% above) needs to clear — double top at $416, double top at $423, double top at $429, major swing at $438, and 11 other signals. The volume Point of Control over the past year sits at $510, where the most trading activity occurred — a significant level if price revisits that area. The 52-week high at $555 sits 38% above, with price at the 27% mark of its annual range.

The risk-return profile of Microsoft Corporation is poor. The Risk Profile Score reads 24/100 — significant risk without proportional reward. The drawdown and volatility metrics suggest this is a painful asset to hold in size. The 1-year Sortino Ratio of 0.1 is below average — returns have barely compensated for the downside volatility. The largest drawdown over the past year reached -28.9%. Beta of 0.24 indicates very low correlation to the broader market — Microsoft Corporation moves largely independently of equity market swings.