Real Estate Select Sector SPDR Fund · XLRE
etfReal Estate
Last updated: February 26, 2026
Real Estate Select Sector SPDR Fund is in a strong, confirmed uptrend. The Trend & Momentum Score reads 89/100, with price sitting above all major moving averages and ADX confirming meaningful trend strength. Flow data supports the picture — the Flow & Accumulation Score at 72/100 shows capital moving in. The Risk Profile Score sits at 46/100, reflecting a mediocre return-to-risk balance.
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Where is money flowing?
VWAP: Above 50d ($41.58) and 200d ($41.41)
Money flow into Real Estate Select Sector SPDR Fund is positive. The Flow & Accumulation Score reads 72/100, indicating steady accumulation — capital is coming in, though not at extreme levels. Chaikin Money Flow at 0.11 and On-Balance Volume (flat) provide a mixed picture of flow dynamics.
What is the trend?
| MA Period | Value | Price vs MA | Distance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10-day | 43.48 | Above | +0.3% |
| 21-day | 42.52 | Above | +2.6% |
| 50-day | 41.48 | Above | +5.2% |
| 100-day | 41.15 | Above | +6.0% |
| 200-day | 41.04 | Above | +6.3% |
Real Estate Select Sector SPDR Fund is in a strong, established uptrend. The Trend & Momentum Score reads 89/100 with price above all major moving averages in bullish alignment.
Is momentum building or fading?
Momentum is positive across all timeframes — 10-day (1.9%), 21-day (5.8%), and 63-day (7.7%) rate of change are all in positive territory — though the alignment suggests the pace of gains is stabilising rather than accelerating. RSI at 65 reflects healthy bullish momentum without reaching overbought levels — there is room for further upside before the indicator signals caution. The MACD histogram is positive, confirming the momentum picture — trend strength and directional indicators are in agreement.
How extended is this move?
Price sits 5.2% above the 50-day moving average, placing this extension in the 97th percentile of its historical range. The move is moderately extended — not at extremes, but above the typical range. Bollinger Band %B at 0.74 shows price in the upper half of its recent volatility range.
Where are the key levels?
$43.40 – $44.20
$39.59 – $41.78
The strongest support zone is $40 — $42, 7% below current price, where 15 independent signals converge — major swing at $40, double bottom at $40, major swing at $40, major swing at $40, and 11 other signals. Overhead, a strong resistance cluster at $43 — $44 (0% above) needs to clear — major swing at $44, double top at $44, SMA-10 at $43, minor swing at $44, and 1 other signal. The volume profile shows the highest activity around $42 (Point of Control), with the 70% value area spanning $40 to $42. Price is within 1% of the 52-week high at $44.
How does this compare?
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What risk am I taking?
The risk-return profile of Real Estate Select Sector SPDR Fund is mediocre. The Risk Profile Score sits at 46/100 — the return-to-risk trade-off is unremarkable, suggesting caution with position sizing. The 1-year Sortino Ratio of 0.2 is below average — returns have barely compensated for the downside volatility. The largest drawdown over the past year reached -14.3%.
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Direction Assessment
Confirmed uptrend with capital inflow
Uptrend without volume support
Capital flowing in, trend not yet established
Downtrend with capital outflow
Average. Standard positioning appropriate.
The combined signal is strong. Both trend (89/100) and flow (72/100) are in positive territory and confirming each other — the asset is trending up with capital backing the move. The Risk Profile Score at 46/100 is adequate — the risk metrics are not a concern but are also not a standout strength.
Conclusion
Across the framework, Real Estate Select Sector SPDR Fund presents a constructive picture. Trend, flow, and momentum indicators are broadly aligned to the upside. The most notable signal is extension — price deviation from the 50-day average is in the 97th percentile of its own history, an extreme that has historically been difficult to sustain. These scores update daily as new data arrives. Flipside does not predict what happens next — it shows what is happening now, grounded in the data.