Teucrium Wheat Fund · WEAT
commodityLast updated: February 26, 2026
Teucrium Wheat Fund is in a strong, confirmed uptrend. The Trend & Momentum Score reads 83/100, with price sitting above all major moving averages and ADX confirming meaningful trend strength. Flow data supports the picture — the Flow & Accumulation Score at 79/100 shows capital moving in. The Risk Profile Score at 30/100 flags that the return does not currently compensate for the volatility and drawdown risk involved.
Get this analysis for every asset in your portfolio → Create free account
Where is money flowing?
VWAP: Above 50d ($20.78) and 200d ($14.28)
Money flow into Teucrium Wheat Fund is positive. The Flow & Accumulation Score reads 79/100, indicating steady accumulation — capital is coming in, though not at extreme levels. Chaikin Money Flow at 0.31 and On-Balance Volume (flat) provide a mixed picture of flow dynamics. Volume is notably thin at just 0.6x the 20-day average — any price moves today carry less conviction due to low participation.
What is the trend?
| MA Period | Value | Price vs MA | Distance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10-day | 21.57 | Above | +1.6% |
| 21-day | 21.16 | Above | +3.6% |
| 50-day | 20.61 | Above | +6.4% |
| 100-day | 20.73 | Above | +5.7% |
| 200-day | 21.35 | Above | +2.7% |
Teucrium Wheat Fund is in a strong, established uptrend. The Trend & Momentum Score reads 83/100 with price above all major moving averages in bullish alignment.
Is momentum building or fading?
Momentum is positive across all timeframes — 10-day (5.0%), 21-day (6.9%), and 63-day (5.4%) rate of change are all in positive territory — though the alignment suggests the pace of gains is stabilising rather than accelerating. RSI at 63 reflects healthy bullish momentum without reaching overbought levels — there is room for further upside before the indicator signals caution. The MACD histogram is positive, confirming the momentum picture — trend strength and directional indicators are in agreement.
How extended is this move?
Price sits 6.4% above the 50-day moving average, placing this extension in the 98th percentile of its historical range. The move is moderately extended — not at extremes, but above the typical range. Within the Bollinger Bands, price sits near the upper band (%B at 0.85) — in the upper range of recent volatility, suggesting the short-term move is approaching its statistical limits.
Where are the key levels?
$22.24
$19.66 – $21.64
The strongest support zone is $20 — $22, 6% below current price, where 8 independent signals converge — major swing at $20, SMA-200 at $21, SMA-50 at $21, SMA-100 at $21, and 4 other signals. No major resistance cluster is identified below the 52-week high at $22 (1% above). The volume Point of Control over the past year sits at $4.6, where the most trading activity occurred — a significant level if price revisits that area. Price is within 1% of the 52-week high at $22.
How does this compare?
How do your holdings compare? Connect your portfolio for a full relative strength overlay → Create free account
What risk am I taking?
The risk-return profile of Teucrium Wheat Fund is poor. The Risk Profile Score reads 30/100 — significant risk without proportional reward. The drawdown and volatility metrics suggest this is a painful asset to hold in size. The 1-year Sortino Ratio is negative (-1.7) — the asset has lost money on a risk-adjusted basis over the past year. Maximum drawdown hit -21.0%, and the loss profile is unfavourable. Beta of 0.02 indicates very low correlation to the broader market — Teucrium Wheat Fund moves largely independently of equity market swings.
Track your risk exposure across your entire portfolio → Upgrade to Pro
Direction Assessment
Confirmed uptrend with capital inflow
Uptrend without volume support
Capital flowing in, trend not yet established
Downtrend with capital outflow
Elevated risk. Standard positioning appropriate.
The combined signal is strong. Both trend (83/100) and flow (79/100) are in positive territory and confirming each other — the asset is trending up with capital backing the move. However, the Risk Profile Score at 30/100 tempers the positive picture. While the trend and flow are aligned, the asset carries significant volatility and drawdown risk — the strength comes with a rough ride.
Conclusion
Across the framework, Teucrium Wheat Fund presents a constructive picture. Trend, flow, and momentum indicators are broadly aligned to the upside. The most notable signal is extension — price deviation from the 50-day average is in the 98th percentile of its own history, an extreme that has historically been difficult to sustain. These scores update daily as new data arrives. Flipside does not predict what happens next — it shows what is happening now, grounded in the data.