EQUITYETF

    Apple Inc. vs SPDR S&P 500 ETF

    AAPL / SPY

    Apple's relative strength vs the broad market

    Last updated: February 26, 2026

    AAPL is gaining ground against SPY with a price ratio of 0.40. The ratio's z-score of 0.96 is within normal range. The two assets are currently moderately correlated (63-day: 0.40).

    AAPL Flow
    73/100Positive Flow
    SPY Flow
    50/100Neutral

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    Relative Performance

    Price Ratio
    0.40Above 50d average
    50d / 200d SMA: 0.39 / 0.37
    Ratio vs 50d MA
    +2.6%Near average
    Z-Score (200d)
    0.96Normal range
    Ratio RSI (14)
    42Neutral

    The price ratio is currently above its 50-day moving average, indicating AAPL has been gaining relative ground recently. The ratio is near its 50-day average, suggesting no significant relative extension. The z-score of 0.96 indicates the ratio is within its normal historical range.

    Performance Comparison

    TimeframeAAPLSPYLeader
    10-Day-0.9%-0.4%SPY
    21-Day+5.8%-0.9%AAPL
    63-Day-1.0%+3.4%SPY

    Performance is mixed across timeframes, with no clear consistent leader between AAPL and SPY. Watch for a breakout in relative momentum.

    Correlation

    63-Day Correlation
    0.40Weak positive
    252-Day Correlation
    0.77Moderate positive

    These two assets have a moderate positive long-term correlation of 0.77. The shorter-term correlation has weakened to 0.40, indicating the assets are diverging from their usual relationship — this can present relative-value opportunities. High correlation means these assets offer limited diversification benefit when held together.

    Money Flow Comparison

    AAPL

    Flow Score
    7373/100
    CMF (20d)
    -0.01Net outflow
    Relative Volume
    0.60×Below average

    SPY

    Flow Score
    5050/100
    CMF (20d)
    0.10Net inflow
    Relative Volume
    0.81×Normal

    AAPL has a stronger flow score (73/100 vs 50/100), indicating more consistent accumulation pressure. However, Chaikin Money Flow tells a different story — AAPL shows net outflow (-0.01) despite its higher flow score, suggesting the capital picture is more nuanced.

    Trend & Risk

    AAPL

    Trend
    66/100Uptrend
    Risk
    45/100Average

    SPY

    Trend
    60/100Uptrend
    Risk
    71/100Good risk/reward
    MetricAAPLSPYAdvantage
    Volatility (21d)+31.1%+12.6%SPY
    Max Drawdown (1Y)-28.7%-16.2%SPY
    Beta0.19
    Correlation (63d)0.40

    Both assets show similar trend momentum (66/100 vs 60/100), indicating neither has a clear directional edge. SPY carries a better risk profile (71/100 vs 45/100), with lower overall risk metrics. AAPL is 2.5x more volatile than SPY on a 21-day basis (31.1% vs 12.6%), which means larger price swings in either direction. AAPL has experienced a deeper maximum drawdown over the past year (28.7% vs 16.2%), indicating higher tail risk.

    Direction Assessment

    AAPL

    STRONG

    Uptrend + capital inflow

    WARNING

    Uptrend, weak flow

    EMERGING

    Flow in, no trend yet

    WEAK

    Downtrend + outflow

    Risk Profile45/100

    Average

    SPY

    STRONG

    Uptrend + capital inflow

    WARNING

    Uptrend, weak flow

    EMERGING

    Flow in, no trend yet

    WEAK

    Downtrend + outflow

    Risk Profile71/100

    Good risk/reward

    Putting It Together

    AAPL is currently gaining ground against SPY, with the price ratio at 0.40 versus its 50-day average of 0.39. The 200-day z-score of 0.96 is within normal bounds, suggesting AAPL may be stretched relative to SPY. On a flow basis, AAPL shows stronger capital accumulation (73 vs 50). SPY carries lower short-term volatility (+12.6% vs +31.1% 21-day), with max drawdowns of -28.7% and -16.2% respectively. With a 63-day correlation of 0.40, these assets show moderate co-movement — offering diversification value. Monitor the ratio trend and flow divergence for early signals of a shift in relative leadership.

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