SPDR S&P 500 ETF · SPY

    etf
    689.30-3.85 (-0.56%)

    Last updated: February 26, 2026

    Money flow in SPDR S&P 500 ETF is balanced, with neither strong accumulation nor distribution. The Flow & Accumulation Score reads 50/100 — a neutral reading with no clear directional bias. The broader trend remains positive, with the Trend & Momentum Score at 60/100, though not at its strongest. The Risk Profile Score sits at 71/100, reflecting a reasonable return-to-risk balance.

    Flow & Accumulation
    50/100Neutral
    Trend & Momentum
    60/100Uptrend
    Risk Profile
    71/100Good risk/reward

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    Where is money flowing?

    Flow & Accumulation
    50/100Neutral

    VWAP: Above 50d ($686.79) and 200d ($653.48)

    CMF (20-day)
    0.10Strong positive
    Relative Volume
    0.81×Average
    Force Index (13-day)
    -9.1MSelling pressure
    OBV Trend (21-day)
    FallingVolume not supporting the trend

    Money flow in SPDR S&P 500 ETF is neutral. The Flow & Accumulation Score reads 50/100 — neither buyers nor sellers are dominating, and capital commitment is balanced. Chaikin Money Flow at 0.10 and On-Balance Volume (flat) provide a mixed picture of flow dynamics.

    What is the trend?

    Trend & Momentum
    60/100Uptrend
    MA PeriodValuePrice vs MADistance
    10-day685.83Above+0.5%
    21-day688.43Above+0.1%
    50-day687.52Above+0.3%
    100-day679.97Above+1.4%
    200-day651.20Above+5.9%
    ADX (14-day)
    12.8Weak / No Trend
    +DI / −DI: 18.9 / 24.2
    Trend State
    UptrendState 4 of 5

    The trend in SPDR S&P 500 ETF is positive. The Trend & Momentum Score reads 60/100, with price above the key 50-day and 200-day moving averages — the intermediate and long-term trend structure is intact.

    Is momentum building or fading?

    RSI (14-day)
    51.4Bullish
    MACD Histogram
    0.22Building
    Line / Signal: 0.01 / -0.21
    ROC Alignment
    -0.4%Mixed signals
    21d / 63d: -0.9% / +3.4%

    Short-term momentum is fading even as the longer-term trend remains positive. The 10-day rate of change has turned negative (-0.4%) while the 63-day (3.4%) remains positive — a pattern that often signals a pullback within an uptrend. RSI at 51 sits near the midline — momentum is essentially neutral, with neither buyers nor sellers showing clear dominance. The MACD histogram remains positive despite the short-term momentum dip — the broader momentum trend has not yet shifted, though the histogram direction warrants monitoring.

    How extended is this move?

    Distance from 50d MA
    +0.3%25th percentile of history
    Bollinger %B
    0.56Middle zone
    Upper / Lower: 698.17 / 677.99
    Bollinger Bandwidth
    0.03Compressed — potential squeeze
    Percentile: 15th

    Price is 0.3% above the 50-day moving average — a mild extension within the normal range (25th percentile of its historical range). There is no significant stretch to flag. Bollinger Band %B at 0.56 places price near the middle of its recent range — neither stretched to the upside nor oversold to the downside. Bollinger Bandwidth has compressed to 0.029 — volatility is unusually low, a condition often referred to as a squeeze. Historically, periods of compressed volatility tend to precede significant moves in one direction.

    Where are the key levels?

    Resistance

    $697.84

    1.2% above52-Week High
    Current$689.30
    Support

    $649.99 – $699.85

    2.1% below20 signals
    Nearest Support
    $649.99 – $699.852.1% below20 signals
    Nearest Resistance
    $697.841.2% above · 52-week high
    Volume POC
    $683.840.8% above POC
    Value Area
    $597.82 – $697.84Price inside value area

    The strongest support zone is $650 — $700, 2% below current price, where 20 independent signals converge — major swing at $653, double bottom at $658, double bottom at $674, major swing at $690, and 16 other signals. No major resistance cluster is identified below the 52-week high at $698 (1% above). The volume profile shows the highest activity around $684 (Point of Control), with the 70% value area spanning $598 to $698. Price is within 1% of the 52-week high at $698.

    How does this compare?

    Vs Benchmark
    Capture Ratio (1Y)
    Upside / Downside:
    Peer comparison and sector ranking coming soon

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    What risk am I taking?

    Risk Profile
    71/100Good risk/reward
    Historical Volatility
    12.6%~4% monthly swings
    63-day: 10.8%
    Max Drawdown (1Y)
    -16.2%Worst peak-to-trough (1Y)
    Current: -0.9%
    Beta (1Y)
    Sortino (1Y)
    0.91Weak
    Calmar (3Y): 1.22 — Good
    ATR (daily range)
    1.2%Typical daily range
    Sharpe (1Y)
    0.72Adequate

    The risk-return profile of SPDR S&P 500 ETF is good. The Risk Profile Score reads 71/100 — the return adequately compensates for the risk involved, with no major red flags in the drawdown or volatility metrics. The 1-year Sortino Ratio of 0.9 is acceptable — returns have been reasonable relative to the downside experienced. The largest drawdown over the past year was -16.2%.

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    Direction Assessment

    STRONG

    Confirmed uptrend with capital inflow

    WARNING

    Uptrend without volume support

    EMERGING

    Capital flowing in, trend not yet established

    WEAK

    Downtrend with capital outflow

    ← Low FlowHigh Flow →
    Risk Profile71/100

    Good risk/reward. Standard positioning appropriate.

    The combined signal is neutral. With trend at 60/100 and flow at 50/100, neither dimension provides a clear directional reading — the asset is in a transitional or range-bound state. The Risk Profile Score at 71/100 sits in favourable territory — in a neutral directional environment, the risk metrics become important for sizing decisions.

    Conclusion

    SPDR S&P 500 ETF is in a transitional phase. The data does not support a strong directional view — indicators are mixed, and the asset could resolve in either direction. No single indicator is at an extreme — the readings are within normal ranges across the framework, which itself is informative. These scores update daily as new data arrives. Flipside does not predict what happens next — it shows what is happening now, grounded in the data.

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