SPDR S&P 500 ETF · SPY
etfLast updated: February 26, 2026
Money flow in SPDR S&P 500 ETF is balanced, with neither strong accumulation nor distribution. The Flow & Accumulation Score reads 50/100 — a neutral reading with no clear directional bias. The broader trend remains positive, with the Trend & Momentum Score at 60/100, though not at its strongest. The Risk Profile Score sits at 71/100, reflecting a reasonable return-to-risk balance.
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Where is money flowing?
VWAP: Above 50d ($686.79) and 200d ($653.48)
Money flow in SPDR S&P 500 ETF is neutral. The Flow & Accumulation Score reads 50/100 — neither buyers nor sellers are dominating, and capital commitment is balanced. Chaikin Money Flow at 0.10 and On-Balance Volume (flat) provide a mixed picture of flow dynamics.
What is the trend?
| MA Period | Value | Price vs MA | Distance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10-day | 685.83 | Above | +0.5% |
| 21-day | 688.43 | Above | +0.1% |
| 50-day | 687.52 | Above | +0.3% |
| 100-day | 679.97 | Above | +1.4% |
| 200-day | 651.20 | Above | +5.9% |
The trend in SPDR S&P 500 ETF is positive. The Trend & Momentum Score reads 60/100, with price above the key 50-day and 200-day moving averages — the intermediate and long-term trend structure is intact.
Is momentum building or fading?
Short-term momentum is fading even as the longer-term trend remains positive. The 10-day rate of change has turned negative (-0.4%) while the 63-day (3.4%) remains positive — a pattern that often signals a pullback within an uptrend. RSI at 51 sits near the midline — momentum is essentially neutral, with neither buyers nor sellers showing clear dominance. The MACD histogram remains positive despite the short-term momentum dip — the broader momentum trend has not yet shifted, though the histogram direction warrants monitoring.
How extended is this move?
Price is 0.3% above the 50-day moving average — a mild extension within the normal range (25th percentile of its historical range). There is no significant stretch to flag. Bollinger Band %B at 0.56 places price near the middle of its recent range — neither stretched to the upside nor oversold to the downside. Bollinger Bandwidth has compressed to 0.029 — volatility is unusually low, a condition often referred to as a squeeze. Historically, periods of compressed volatility tend to precede significant moves in one direction.
Where are the key levels?
$697.84
$649.99 – $699.85
The strongest support zone is $650 — $700, 2% below current price, where 20 independent signals converge — major swing at $653, double bottom at $658, double bottom at $674, major swing at $690, and 16 other signals. No major resistance cluster is identified below the 52-week high at $698 (1% above). The volume profile shows the highest activity around $684 (Point of Control), with the 70% value area spanning $598 to $698. Price is within 1% of the 52-week high at $698.
How does this compare?
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What risk am I taking?
The risk-return profile of SPDR S&P 500 ETF is good. The Risk Profile Score reads 71/100 — the return adequately compensates for the risk involved, with no major red flags in the drawdown or volatility metrics. The 1-year Sortino Ratio of 0.9 is acceptable — returns have been reasonable relative to the downside experienced. The largest drawdown over the past year was -16.2%.
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Direction Assessment
Confirmed uptrend with capital inflow
Uptrend without volume support
Capital flowing in, trend not yet established
Downtrend with capital outflow
Good risk/reward. Standard positioning appropriate.
The combined signal is neutral. With trend at 60/100 and flow at 50/100, neither dimension provides a clear directional reading — the asset is in a transitional or range-bound state. The Risk Profile Score at 71/100 sits in favourable territory — in a neutral directional environment, the risk metrics become important for sizing decisions.
Conclusion
SPDR S&P 500 ETF is in a transitional phase. The data does not support a strong directional view — indicators are mixed, and the asset could resolve in either direction. No single indicator is at an extreme — the readings are within normal ranges across the framework, which itself is informative. These scores update daily as new data arrives. Flipside does not predict what happens next — it shows what is happening now, grounded in the data.
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